Grand National First Fence Fallers



YearFirst Fence FallersGoingNumber of Runners
20092Good to Soft40
20080Good40
20072Good40
20065Good to Soft40
20052Good to Soft40
20043Good39
20031Good40
20029Good40
20012Heavy40
20005Good40
19991Good32
19985Soft37
19971Good36
19962Good27
19957Good35
19941Heavy36
19921Good to Soft40
19911Good to Soft40
19901Firm38

The amount of first fence fallers can seem hard to predict as the going seems to play no part in the outcome. The most first fence fallers since 1990 was 9 in 2002 on good ground but in 1998 there were five first fence fallers on soft going.

The reason there were so many fallers in 2002 is a few of the prominent runners fell and caused a certain amount of carnage which brought down a few other runners in one way or another.

It is worth checking to see how the iffy jumpers are likely to run. If they are prominent runners then when they fall they are going to have an adverse affect on those behind. If they are hold up performers they are likely to have little or no effect on the other runners.

First Fence Fallers in the National - Recent History

Another point to take note of is that since 1990 there has always been at least one faller at the first apart from just one occasion in 2008. In twelve of the eighteen runnings since 1990 there were either one or two fallers. This makes this number by far the most likely outcome and probably the one to back.

Back no first fence fallers at 3/1 with Paddy Power

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